Showing posts with label Iran. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Iran. Show all posts

Saturday, June 27, 2009

Weekend Tids and Bits

PRAISE THE LORD AND PASS THE AMMUNITION – seems to be a good opening number for a service at the New Bethel Church in Louisville, KY. The pastor, Ken Pagano, is inviting his parishioners to bring their guns to church, according to a New York Times story you can read at http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/26/us/26guns.html?hp. If you bring your weapon openly to church, make sure it’s unloaded, because deputies will be checking, the story says. If it’s concealed, no problem.

In most states, it’s legal to openly carry a gun – you get in trouble when the weapon is concealed. The nuances vary by state and if you’re thinking of strapping on a holster, visit http://opencarry.org first.

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SOME GUYS GET ALL THE BREAKS – If an elected official has a chance to pick the day for going public with an adulterous affair, South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford’s luck sets an example. Sanford’s love life had roughly 24 hours in the main media spotlight and was already being edged by Farah Fawcett’s death when Michael Jackson’s demise moved Sanford’s trouble to the “In other news…” sections.

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LAST WEEK WE DISCUSSED. . .

Elephants aren’t particularly afraid of mice, but the Republican Party has gone so conservative that someone yelling “Change!” at a GOP event will start the Pachyderm Party thundering and trumpeting towards the doors at http://larryblaskosaid.blogspot.com/2009/06/elephants-and-mice-republicans-and.html

Something is happening in Iran, but exactly what is information hard to come by. Harder still is information about why we should care much one way or the other at http://larryblaskosaid.blogspot.com/2009/06/iran-turmoil-yeah.html

We need to do something about the environment, if only to shut up the environmentalists whose concern is so all encompassing, they were worried about cow burps at http://larryblaskosaid.blogspot.com/2009/06/radical-reformers-target-cow-burps.html. No confirmation yet on the rumor that some environmentalists have developed such a concern about discharging bodily waste that they hold it as long as possible. Confirmation, of course, would confirm that they are indeed full of it.

South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford gave in to temptation, but so did the media outfits who quoted extensively from e-mails between the lovers at http://larryblaskosaid.blogspot.com/2009/06/giving-in-to-temptation-south-carolina.html

Michael Jackson’s death sparked a media frenzy of major size and minor importance at http://larryblaskosaid.blogspot.com/2009/06/michael-jackson-and-things-of.html

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Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Iran Turmoil –

Yeah. So?

Americans don’t know two central things about Iran:

(1.) What’s really happening and why.

(2.) Why we should care one way or the other.

The first is pretty straightforward. We don’t have an embassy there, and news reporting under the ayatollahs of the last 30 years has been problematical at best. However much we cite Twitter, or whichever “Iranian patriot” is on the internet, all we know is there’s large-scale political unrest.

Besides, our track record of political involvement in Iran isn’t stellar. We backed the Shah of Iran, and on New Year’s Eve in 1978, President Jimmy Carter said “Under the Shah’s brilliant leadership Iran is an island of stability in one of the most troublesome regions of the world. There is no other state figure whom I could appreciate and like more.”

There was one the Iranians could appreciate and like more, Ayatollah Khomeini. His Islamic fundamentalists deposed the ailing Shah and forced him into exile here. On November 4, 1979, the U.S. Embassy in Tehran was seized and 52 diplomats were taken hostage to endure 444 days of captivity horrible to them and humiliating to the United States.

A nasty stew of seized assets, charge and countercharge simmers yet.

Recently there was an Iranian election that may or may not have been more crooked than locally customary. Several Iranian factions seem to be seriously attempting to overthrow the current clutch of clerics and their boy Ahmadinejad, the current president of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Because Americans tend to see revolutions as the freedom-loving people rising up to overthrow tyranny, they often miss it when people rise up to overthrow one tyranny in favor of another.

All of which is marginally more fascinating than a rain-soaked U.S. Open golf tourney, which leads us to the second question. Why should we care what’s going on in Iran?

Iran’s open and obvious pursuit of nuclear capability – weapons included – is an often-cited concern. We worry that if they develop nukes, they might use them, or give them to those who would. An Arab/Muslim reply to that might be “So why didn’t you worry the same way when Israel developed nukes – and if they can have them, why can’t we? And what about Pakistan? And North Korea?”

We don’t have a good reply.

Trade under sanctions certainly can’t be an issue. The feds say our 2008 imports from Iran amounted to almost $105 million, about three-quarters of that in rugs and artwork. Iranian oil doesn’t figure in the U.S. economy.

Iran forms the north coast of the Straits of Hormuz, the 40-mile-wide bottleneck through which a third of the world’s oil must pass, and there is concern that Iran might attempt to close it. The United States Navy’s Fifth Fleet would certainly enter that discussion, as would the other oil regimes who may be for the advance of Islam, but not at the expense of oil income.

Since Iran has no apparent intention of helping U.S. interests, and no real long-term possibility of seriously hurting them, someone must make a case for why the United States should care or attempt to influence what happens in Iran.

And if the case can’t be made – and it can’t – we should mind our own business. It would be a nice change of pace. Let’s hope we try it.

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